The First Monday In September
# 2269
The traditional peak of the Atlantic Tropical storm season is still nearly 2 weeks away and things are heating up considerably in the Atlantic Basin.
This morning, a much diminished Hurricane Gustav is coming ashore in central Louisiana, Tropical Storm Hanna is meandering towards the Eastern Bahamas, and 4 (count' em), 4 other areas are under close scrutiny by the National Hurricane Center.
While it is unlikely that all four of these areas will end up becoming tropical systems, it is almost certain that more will pop up to replace those that fizzle out over the next month or six weeks.
We've been promised an active season, and so far, the predictions sadly appear on target.
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON SEP 1 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUSTAV...LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM HANNA...LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
1. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD BE FORMING ABOUT HALFWAY BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED LATER TODAY. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.
2. A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE HAS EMERGED OFF THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND IS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION ... AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
3. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH SURFACE PRESSURES ARE LOW...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.
4. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA
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